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Home > Ädelmetaller, Guld, Silver > Fokusera inte för mycket på teknisk analys för guld och silver

Fokusera inte för mycket på teknisk analys för guld och silver

January 27th, 2011 Leave a comment Go to comments

King World News har fått nya kommentarer om guldmarknaden från sin ‘handlare i London’. Kommentarerna påminner om det som vi tagit upp flera gånger tidigare, dvs att marknaden inte bara är riggad utan att man flitigt använder sig av teknisk analys för att skrämma sk ‘weak hands’ till att sälja, dvs investerare som inte är övertygade om guldets fundamenta och potential, utan bara ‘hakar på’.

Taktiken går ut på att bryta viktiga moståndsnivåer och skapa tekniska formationer som i en icke manipulerad marknad skulle vara oerhört negativa. Kartellen känner även till var investerare har lagt sina ‘stoploss’ nivåer och kan se till att dessa utlöses för att skapa ytterligare momentum.

Rådet är därför att till viss del bortse från teknisk analys när det gäller guld, framförallt vad gäller mer långsiktiga negativa tekniska formationer som ‘huvud/skuldra’ etc. Som inlägget från igår visar så har guld (och guldaktier) i princip alltid vänt upp när det sett som allra värst ut rent tekniskt. Detsamma gäller dessvärre när det ser som tekniskt bäst ut. Detta är dock inget konstigt, då manipulatörerna till varje pris vill undvika att den tekniska bilden blir för stark och därmed riskerar att öka intresset för guld från nya investerare.

London Trader – Big Money Lined Up To Buy Gold & Silver
 
Ahead of the World Economic Forum at Davos we have seen gold and silver under pressure.  One trader out of London commented, “It appears certain interests are trying to give the appearance of technical weakness, so all of the banks have sold.  That tells me we are at a bottom because they are always wrong in their call.  Remember they are telling their clients to sell here, and they are on the other side of the trade.”

“On the 17th of January as an example, Lloyds Bank told all of their clients to sell gold based on a head and should pattern.  Lloyds first target was said to be $1,148, then below that $841 to $875, and I have never seen that from them. 

What is a big sign of weakness is that these operations creating the appearance of technical damage are being done in the thinly traded access market when the majority of traders in the UK and Asia are not even in the market.

The technical watchers are so myopic, they see this pattern that is being orchestrated and go on the sell side of the market.  The banks are bidding on the other side of the trade buying. 

Meanwhile physical demand is incredibly robust from the eastern hemisphere creating a floor on the downside preventing a further breakdown.  There are certain banking interests which have been making an effort to keep a lid on prices of gold and silver, and as I mentioned they are being met by intense Asian demand as well as savvy traders lining up to buy this drawdown in both gold and silver.

Big money is lining up to buy into any attempts to flush the price lower in both metals.”

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Categories: Ädelmetaller, Guld, Silver Tags: , ,
  1. johan
    January 27th, 2011 at 17:42 | #1

    hej! någon koll varför det plötsligt blev ett kraftigt guld/silver ras nu igen? eller händer det bara utan förklaring, väldigt tungt med dessa snabba ras då aktierna alltid överreagerar kraftigt

       0 likes

    • Finansiella Insikter
      January 27th, 2011 at 17:56 | #2

      Hej!

      Här har du förklaringen:

      http://www.zerohedge.com/article/pomo-comes-huge-submitted-accepted-ratio-market-dumps

      Bara ‘brus’ som Jim Sinclair skulle kalla det.

      Mvh,
      Finansiella Insikter

         1 likes

    • Finansiella Insikter
      January 27th, 2011 at 18:06 | #3

      Och här har du lite mer bakgrundsinfo:

      The POMO ‘Submitted-to-Accepted’ ratio can be thought of as being similar to a reverse bid-to-cover ratio in Treasury auctions. Primary Dealers submit a certain volume of paper and the Fed accepts a portion of it. If POMO is indeed having a direct impact on the markets, there should be a relationship between the submitted-to-accepted ratio and the size of the market’s response.

      More specifically, the generic market effect on POMO days (i.e. stocks and yields up relative to non-POMO days) should be pronounced when the submitted-to-accepted ratio is relatively low (“meets expectations”) and muted when the ratio is high (“a negative surprise”, particularly if said Dealers had already positioned themselves in pre-POMO trading, based on a set of expectations regarding the outcome).

      Här kan du läsa mer:

      http://www.zerohedge.com/article/pomo-submitted-accepted-ratio-tell-how-frontrun-frontrunning-primary-dealers

         0 likes

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